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Poland - Ekstraklasa Friday, May 8, 2026 18:30 
Lech Poznan PPG 1.73 
Arka Gdynia PPG 0.33
Poland - Ekstraklasa Friday, May 8, 2026 18:30 Lech Poznan PPG 1.731-1 HIT CS3
Arka Gdynia PPG 0.33Away· +18.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 61.7% Odds: 1.48 -8.7%
Over 3.5 45.4% Odds: 2.20 -0.1%
BTTS 54.6% Odds: 1.65 -9.9%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-0 ✘
2nd 2-1 ✘
3rd 1-1 ✔
4th 3-0 ✘
5th 3-1 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Lech Poznan 2.50
Arka Gdynia 0.96
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -8.7% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -8.7% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+18.2%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Away (+18.2%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.73) vs P(Home)=59.5%