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Switzerland - Challenge League logo Switzerland flag Switzerland - Challenge League Regular Season - 34 Stade Olympique de la Pontaise· Lausanne Friday, May 8, 2026 18:15
Lausanne Ouchy logo Lausanne Ouchy PPG 1.25
5-0 MISS
Bellinzona logo Bellinzona PPG 0.25
Away· +7.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 51.1%
Odds: 1.53 EV: -21.8%
Draw 26.3%
Odds: 4.10 EV: +4.7%
Away 22.6%
Odds: 5.00 EV: +7.8%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 60.2% Odds: 1.48 -10.9%
Over 3.5 40.3% Odds: 2.20 -11.3%
BTTS 58.8% Odds: 1.50 -11.8%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 2-0
4th 1-0
5th 3-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Lausanne Ouchy
2.15
Bellinzona
1.08

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -10.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -10.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+7.8%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.25) vs P(Home)=51.1%

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