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Switzerland - Challenge League Friday, May 8, 2026 18:15 
Aarau PPG 2.31 
Stade Nyonnais PPG 0.56
Switzerland - Challenge League Friday, May 8, 2026 18:15 Aarau PPG 2.315-1 MISS
Stade Nyonnais PPG 0.56Away· +20.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 53.1% Odds: 1.42 -24.6%
Over 3.5 31.2% Odds: 2.00 -37.6%
BTTS 52.3% Odds: 1.57 -17.9%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-0 ✘
2nd 1-0 ✘
3rd 1-1 ✘
4th 2-1 ✘
5th 3-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Aarau 2.07
Stade Nyonnais 0.75
Model Suggestion
Home -22.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -22.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+20.8%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Away (+20.8%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.31) vs P(Home)=57.7%