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Poland - Ekstraklasa logo Poland flag Poland - Ekstraklasa Regular Season - 32 zondacrypto Arena· Czestochowa Friday, May 8, 2026 16:00
Rakow C. logo Rakow C. PPG 1.57
2-0 HIT CS4
Korona Kielce logo Korona Kielce PPG 1.07
Draw· +5.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 44.3%
Odds: 1.81 EV: -19.8%
Draw 29.3%
Odds: 3.70 EV: +5.1%
Away 26.3%
Odds: 4.10 EV: +4.7%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.1% Odds: 1.80 -17.0%
Over 3.5 19.9% Odds: 3.00 -24.2%
BTTS 52.3% Odds: 1.73 -9.5%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-0
4th 2-0
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Rakow C.
1.30
Korona Kielce
0.99

Model Suggestion

BTTS -9.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -9.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+5.1%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.57) > Away AVERAGE (1.07)

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