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Rapid Wien B vs First Vienna Prediction— Austria - 2. Liga

Regular Season - 29 ·Friday, May 8, 2026, 16:00

Rapid Wien B

PPG 1.23 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

First Vienna

PPG 1.64 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.1%0-114.9%0-29.2%0-33.8%0-4+1.5%1 1-010.7%1-113.1%1-28.1%1-33.3%1-4+1.3%2 2-04.7%2-15.8%2-23.5%2-31.5%2-4+0.6%3 3-01.4%3-11.7%3-21.0%3-30.4%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.4%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 27.4% 29.0% 3.45 -3.3%

Draw 29.5% 26.7% 3.75 +6.4%

Away win 43.1% 52.6% 1.90 -18.1%

Over 2.5 45.8% 59.9% 1.67 -23.5%

Over 3.5 16.3% 37.7% 2.65 -34.1%

BTTS 49.1% 63.7% 1.57 -22.9%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 32 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 56%

ROI -31.5%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 27%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob49.1%

A 43% / xG 0.9-1.2 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.1%

#2 0–0 12.1%

#3 0–1 14.9%

#4 0–2 9.2%

#5 1–0✓ 10.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rapid Wien B0.9

First Vienna1.2

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.8% · O3.5 PROB 16.3%

Form & verdict PPG

RAPID WIEN B · PPG 1.23

FIRST VIENNA · PPG 1.64

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.23) vs Away GOOD (1.64)

Win probability 1X2

Rapid Wien B (H) 27.4%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -3.3%

Draw 29.5%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV +6.4%

First Vienna (A) 43.1%

ODDS 1.90 · IMPLIED 52.6% EV -18.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Rapid Wien B face First Vienna in Austria - 2. Liga on Friday, May 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rapid Wien B a 27% chance, the draw 30% and First Vienna 43%, so First Vienna are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Rapid Wien B and 1.2 for First Vienna (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rapid Wien B are averaging 1.23 points per game versus 1.64 for First Vienna. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +6.4%. This match finished 1-0.

Rapid Wien B vs First Vienna Prediction— Austria - 2. Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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