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Australia - Victoria NPL 2 logo Australia flag Australia - Victoria NPL 2 Regular Season - 12 Friday, May 8, 2026 10:30
Eltham Redbacks logo Eltham Redbacks PPG 2.20
8-0 MISS
Port Melbourne logo Port Melbourne PPG 0.20
Draw· +5.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 67.8%
Odds: 1.36 EV: -7.8%
Draw 22.8%
Odds: 4.75 EV: +5.0%
Away 9.4%
Odds: 5.00 EV: -31.8%
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.3% Odds: 1.44 -14.6%
Over 3.5 36.2% Odds: 2.04 -26.2%
BTTS 48.2% Odds: 1.55 -25.3%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 3-0
3rd 1-0
4th 2-1
5th 1-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Eltham Redbacks
2.44
Port Melbourne
0.60

Model Suggestion

Home -7.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -7.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+5.0%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%
O2.5/Under 65%
BTTS/No 61%
Score Hit 43%
ROI -40.0%
Bet Hit 43% (7 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.20), Away POOR (0.20) - Strong consensus

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