Predict
Vantage
Today
Top Picks
Accuracy
Leagues
← Back to picks
Australia - Victoria NPL
Regular Season - 12
Genis Steel Stadium· Melbourne
Friday, May 8, 2026
10:30
Preston Lions
PPG 1.40
1-0
HIT CS3
Dandenong City
PPG 0.80
Away· -1.3%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
51.0%
Odds: 1.68
EV: -14.3%
Draw
26.4%
Odds: 3.70
EV: -1.4%
Away
22.6%
Odds: 4.33
EV: -1.3%
Model lean:
Over 2.5
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
53.1%
Odds: 1.70
-9.7%
Over 3.5
30.5%
Odds: 2.75
-16.1%
BTTS
52.3%
Odds: 1.65
-13.7%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘
BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
2-0
✘
3rd
1-0
✔
4th
2-1
✘
5th
0-0
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Preston Lions
1.88
Dandenong City
0.90
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5
-9.7%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -9.7% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME
Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.40) > Away POOR (0.80)