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Australia - Victoria NPL Friday, May 8, 2026 10:15
Oakleigh C. PPG 2.00
2-0 HIT CS3
Dandenong T. PPG 1.20
Away· +17.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 51.9%
Odds: 1.48 EV: -23.2%
Draw 25.1%
Odds: 4.10 EV: +1.8%
Away 23.0%
Odds: 5.60 EV: +17.3%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.7% Odds: 1.53 -5.6%
Over 3.5 46.7% Odds: 2.35 +9.8%
BTTS 58.8% Odds: 1.60 -5.9%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1
2nd 1-1
3rd 2-0
4th 3-1
5th 3-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Oakleigh C.
2.36
Dandenong T.
1.16

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -5.6% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-5.6%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record

Based on 43 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%
O2.5/Under 51%
BTTS/No 37%
Score Hit 44%
ROI 5.0%
Bet Hit 58% (19 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away AVERAGE (1.20)

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