Today / Berkane vs Union Touarga

Berkane vs Union Touarga Prediction

Thursday, May 7, 2026

Berkane

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Union Touarga

PPG 0.88 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=51.0%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.0%0-16.9%0-22.6%0-30.7%0-4+0.1%1 1-014.8%1-111.3%1-24.3%1-31.1%1-4+0.2%2 2-012.2%2-19.3%2-23.5%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-06.7%3-15.1%3-21.9%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-04.0%4+-13.0%4+-21.2%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.0% — — —

Draw 26.4% — — —

Away win 22.6% — — —

Over 2.5 46.5% — — —

Over 3.5 22.3% — — —

BTTS 50.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 29%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob50.9%

H 51% / xG 1.6-0.8 / U2.5 46% / BTTS 51%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 14.8%

#2 1–1 11.3%

#3 2–0 12.2%

#4 0–0 9.0%

#5 2–1 9.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Berkane1.6

Union Touarga0.8

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.5% · O3.5 PROB 22.3%

Form & verdict PPG

BERKANE · PPG 2.00

UNION TOUARGA · PPG 0.88

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=51.0%

Win probability 1X2

Berkane (H) 51.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Union Touarga (A) 22.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Berkane face Union Touarga on Thursday, May 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Berkane a 51% chance, the draw 26% and Union Touarga 23%, so Berkane are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Berkane and 0.8 for Union Touarga (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Berkane are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.88 for Union Touarga.

Berkane vs Union Touarga Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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