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Kryvbas KR U19 vs Karpaty U19 Prediction— Ukraine - U19 League

Regular Season - 27 ·Thursday, May 7, 2026, 10:00

Kryvbas KR U19

PPG 1.31 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Karpaty U19

PPG 1.69 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.31) vs Away GOOD (1.69)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.2%0-14.7%0-25.1%0-33.7%0-4+3.3%1 1-03.6%1-17.9%1-28.5%1-36.1%1-4+5.5%2 2-03.0%2-16.5%2-27.0%2-35.1%2-4+4.5%3 3-01.7%3-13.6%3-23.9%3-32.8%3-4+2.5%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-12.2%4+-22.3%4+-31.7%4+-4+1.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 33.0% — — —

Draw 25.0% — — —

Away win 42.1% — — —

Over 2.5 61.7% — — —

Over 3.5 53.1% — — —

BTTS 63.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 39 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 41%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 53%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob63.0%

A 42% / xG 1.7-2.2 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.9%

#2 1–2 8.5%

#3 2–2 7.0%

#4 2–1 6.5%

#5 1–3 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kryvbas KR U191.7

Karpaty U192.2

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.7% · O3.5 PROB 53.1%

Form & verdict PPG

KRYVBAS KR U19 · PPG 1.31

KARPATY U19 · PPG 1.69

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.31) vs Away GOOD (1.69)

Win probability 1X2

Kryvbas KR U19 (H) 33.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Karpaty U19 (A) 42.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kryvbas KR U19 face Karpaty U19 in Ukraine - U19 League on Thursday, May 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kryvbas KR U19 a 33% chance, the draw 25% and Karpaty U19 42%, so Karpaty U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Kryvbas KR U19 and 2.2 for Karpaty U19 (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kryvbas KR U19 are averaging 1.31 points per game versus 1.69 for Karpaty U19. This match finished 3-1.

Kryvbas KR U19 vs Karpaty U19 Prediction— Ukraine - U19 League

Match Preview & Prediction

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