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Latvia - Virsliga logo Latvia flag Latvia - Virsliga Regular Season - 11 Thursday, May 7, 2026 15:00
Tukums logo Tukums PPG 1.00
6-1 MISS
Ogre United logo Ogre United PPG 0.00
Over3.5· +36.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
40% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 59.5%
Odds: 1.67 EV: -0.6%
Draw 21.2%
Odds: 3.65 EV: -13.6%
Away 19.3%
Odds: 4.40 EV: -9.0%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.7% Odds: 1.77 +9.2%
Over 3.5 46.1% Odds: 2.95 +36.0%
BTTS 54.6% Odds: 1.70 -7.2%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 2-1
3rd 3-0
4th 1-1
5th 3-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Tukums
2.56
Ogre United
0.93

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +9.2% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+36.0%)

League Track Record

Based on 43 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%
O2.5/Under 61%
BTTS/No 54%
Score Hit 56%
ROI -16.4%
Bet Hit 50% (10 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
40%
NEUTRAL

No PPG data

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