Today / Haras El Hodood vs ZED FC

Haras El Hodood vs ZED FC Prediction

Thursday, May 7, 2026

Haras El Hodood

PPG 1.07 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

ZED FC

PPG 1.21 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.5%0-117.4%0-210.4%0-34.1%0-4+1.6%1 1-010.6%1-112.7%1-27.6%1-33.0%1-4+1.2%2 2-03.9%2-14.7%2-22.8%2-31.1%2-4+0.4%3 3-01.0%3-11.1%3-20.7%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 25.0% — — —

Draw 30.6% — — —

Away win 44.4% — — —

Over 2.5 35.1% — — —

Over 3.5 13.0% — — —

BTTS 48.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 39%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob48.2%

A 44% / xG 0.7-1.2 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 14.5%

#2 0–1 17.4%

#3 1–1 12.7%

#4 0–2 10.4%

#5 1–0 10.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Haras El Hodood0.7

ZED FC1.2

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.1% · O3.5 PROB 13.0%

Form & verdict PPG

HARAS EL HODOOD · PPG 1.07

ZED FC · PPG 1.21

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.07), Away AVERAGE (1.21)

Win probability 1X2

Haras El Hodood (H) 25.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 30.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

ZED FC (A) 44.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Haras El Hodood face ZED FC on Thursday, May 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Haras El Hodood a 25% chance, the draw 31% and ZED FC 44%, so ZED FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Haras El Hodood and 1.2 for ZED FC (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Haras El Hodood are averaging 1.07 points per game versus 1.21 for ZED FC. This match finished 1-2.

Haras El Hodood vs ZED FC Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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