Today / Dinamo Jug vs Usce Novi B.

Dinamo Jug vs Usce Novi B. Prediction

Thursday, May 7, 2026

Dinamo Jug

PPG 1.88 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Usce Novi B.

PPG 0.35 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.88) vs P(Home)=50.4%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.2%0-18.2%0-22.6%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-018.5%1-111.5%1-23.6%1-30.7%1-4+0.1%2 2-013.0%2-18.1%2-22.5%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-06.1%3-13.8%3-21.2%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-02.9%4+-11.8%4+-20.6%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.4% — — —

Draw 27.3% — — —

Away win 22.3% — — —

Over 2.5 45.8% — — —

Over 3.5 14.7% — — —

BTTS 47.4% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 34%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob47.4%

H 50% / xG 1.4-0.6 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 18.5%

#2 0–0 13.2%

#3 1–1 11.5%

#4 2–0✓ 13.0%

#5 2–1 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dinamo Jug1.4

Usce Novi B.0.6

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.8% · O3.5 PROB 14.7%

Form & verdict PPG

DINAMO JUG · PPG 1.88

USCE NOVI B. · PPG 0.35

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.88) vs P(Home)=50.4%

Win probability 1X2

Dinamo Jug (H) 50.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Usce Novi B. (A) 22.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Dinamo Jug face Usce Novi B. on Thursday, May 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dinamo Jug a 50% chance, the draw 27% and Usce Novi B. 22%, so Dinamo Jug are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Dinamo Jug and 0.6 for Usce Novi B. (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dinamo Jug are averaging 1.88 points per game versus 0.35 for Usce Novi B.. This match finished 2-0.

Dinamo Jug vs Usce Novi B. Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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