Today / Polissya U19 vs Oleksandria U19

Polissya U19 vs Oleksandria U19 Prediction

Thursday, May 7, 2026

Polissya U19
PPG 1.54 · HOME
3 – 1
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS
Oleksandria U19
PPG 0.92 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.54) > Away POOR (0.92)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.7%0-16.4%0-22.7%0-30.7%0-4+0.2%1 1-013.4%1-111.1%1-24.6%1-31.3%1-4+0.3%2 2-011.6%2-19.6%2-24.0%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-06.7%3-15.5%3-22.3%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-04.3%4+-13.5%4+-21.5%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 51.0%
Draw 26.4%
Away win 22.6%
Over 2.5 47.6%
Over 3.5 25.6%
BTTS 52.3%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 28%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 3-1
xG (home)1.7 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob52.3%

H 51% / xG 1.7-0.8 / O2.5 48% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.1%
#2 1–0 13.4%
#3 2–0 11.6%
#4 2–1 9.6%
#5 0–0 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Polissya U191.7
Oleksandria U190.8

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.6% · O3.5 PROB 25.6%

Form & verdict PPG

POLISSYA U19 · PPG 1.54

OLEKSANDRIA U19 · PPG 0.92

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.54) > Away POOR (0.92)

Win probability 1X2

Polissya U19 (H) 51.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 26.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Oleksandria U19 (A) 22.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Polissya U19 face Oleksandria U19 on Thursday, May 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Polissya U19 a 51% chance, the draw 26% and Oleksandria U19 23%, so Polissya U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Polissya U19 and 0.8 for Oleksandria U19 (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Polissya U19 are averaging 1.54 points per game versus 0.92 for Oleksandria U19. This match finished 3-1.

PredictVantage

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