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P. Tczew W vs Gornik Leczna W Prediction— Poland - Ekstraliga Women

Regular Season - 22 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 09:30

P. Tczew W

PPG 0.30 · HOME

0 – 5

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY O1.5

Gornik Leczna W

PPG 2.20 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.20) vs Home POOR (0.30)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.1%0-16.8%0-210.9%0-311.8%0-4+21.4%1 1-01.3%1-14.3%1-27.0%1-37.5%1-4+13.6%2 2-00.4%2-11.4%2-22.2%2-32.4%2-4+4.3%3 3-00.1%3-10.3%3-20.5%3-30.5%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.4% — — —

Draw 20.3% — — —

Away win 66.2% — — —

Over 2.5 65.8% — — —

Over 3.5 43.1% — — —

BTTS 51.6% — — —

Home O1.5 13.4% — — —

Away O1.5 83.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%

O2.5 87%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 39%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 64%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-5

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)3.2 BTTS prob51.6%

A 66% / xG 0.6-3.2 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–3 11.8%

#2 0–2 10.9%

#3 0–4 9.5%

#4 1–3 7.5%

#5 1–2 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

P. Tczew W0.6

Gornik Leczna W3.2

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.8% · O3.5 PROB 43.1%

Form & verdict PPG

P. TCZEW W · PPG 0.30

GORNIK LECZNA W · PPG 2.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.20) vs Home POOR (0.30)

Win probability 1X2

P. Tczew W (H) 13.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Gornik Leczna W (A) 66.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

P. Tczew W face Gornik Leczna W in Poland - Ekstraliga Women on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives P. Tczew W a 13% chance, the draw 20% and Gornik Leczna W 66%, so Gornik Leczna W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for P. Tczew W and 3.2 for Gornik Leczna W (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-3. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, P. Tczew W are averaging 0.30 points per game versus 2.20 for Gornik Leczna W. This match finished 0-5.

P. Tczew W vs Gornik Leczna W Prediction— Poland - Ekstraliga Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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