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P. Tczew W vs Stomilanki O. W Prediction— Poland - Ekstraliga Women

Regular Season - 21 ·Sunday, May 24, 2026, 10:00

P. Tczew W

PPG 0.22 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Stomilanki O. W

PPG 0.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.4%0-15.1%0-25.4%0-33.8%0-4+3.2%1 1-03.9%1-18.3%1-28.7%1-36.1%1-4+5.2%2 2-03.2%2-16.7%2-27.0%2-34.9%2-4+4.2%3 3-01.7%3-13.6%3-23.8%3-32.6%3-4+2.2%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-12.1%4+-22.2%4+-31.5%4+-4+1.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.3% — — —

Draw 24.0% — — —

Away win 43.7% — — —

Over 2.5 63.9% — — —

Over 3.5 50.8% — — —

BTTS 62.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%

O2.5 87%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 39%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 54%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob62.7%

A 44% / xG 1.6-2.1 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.3%

#2 1–2 8.7%

#3 2–2✓ 7.0%

#4 2–1 6.7%

#5 1–3 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

P. Tczew W1.6

Stomilanki O. W2.1

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 50.8%

Form & verdict PPG

P. TCZEW W · PPG 0.22

STOMILANKI O. W · PPG 0.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.22) vs Away POOR (0.67)

Win probability 1X2

P. Tczew W (H) 32.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Stomilanki O. W (A) 43.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

P. Tczew W face Stomilanki O. W in Poland - Ekstraliga Women on Sunday, May 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives P. Tczew W a 32% chance, the draw 24% and Stomilanki O. W 44%, so Stomilanki O. W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for P. Tczew W and 2.1 for Stomilanki O. W (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, P. Tczew W are averaging 0.22 points per game versus 0.67 for Stomilanki O. W. This match finished 2-2.

P. Tczew W vs Stomilanki O. W Prediction— Poland - Ekstraliga Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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