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Slask Wroclaw W vs P. Tczew W Prediction— Poland - Ekstraliga Women

Regular Season - 13 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 10:00

Slask Wroclaw W logo
Slask Wroclaw W
PPG 1.44 · HOME
0 – 2
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME
P. Tczew W logo
P. Tczew W
PPG 0.10 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in AVERAGE form (1.44), Away POOR (0.10) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.0%0-10.8%0-20.3%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-03.9%1-13.1%1-21.2%1-30.3%1-4+0.1%2 2-07.3%2-15.8%2-22.3%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-09.3%3-17.4%3-22.9%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-023.7%4+-118.8%4+-27.5%4+-32.0%4+-4+0.5%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 71.7%
Draw 20.3%
Away win 8.0%
Over 2.5 71.7%
Over 3.5 67.1%
BTTS 52.6%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%
O2.5 87%
BTTS 61%
Score Hit 39%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 66%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-2
xG (home)3.8 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob52.6%

H 72% / xG 3.8-0.8 / O2.5 72% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 9.3%
#2 4–0 8.8%
#3 3–1 7.4%
#4 2–0 7.3%
#5 4–1 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Slask Wroclaw W3.8
P. Tczew W0.8

COMBINED 4.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 71.7% · O3.5 PROB 67.1%

Form & verdict PPG

SLASK WROCLAW W · PPG 1.44

P. TCZEW W · PPG 0.10

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in AVERAGE form (1.44), Away POOR (0.10) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Slask Wroclaw W (H) 71.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 20.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
P. Tczew W (A) 8.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Slask Wroclaw W face P. Tczew W in Poland - Ekstraliga Women on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Slask Wroclaw W a 72% chance, the draw 20% and P. Tczew W 8%, so Slask Wroclaw W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.8 for Slask Wroclaw W and 0.8 for P. Tczew W (4.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Slask Wroclaw W are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 0.10 for P. Tczew W. This match finished 0-2.

PredictVantage

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