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Gornik Leczna W vs P. Szczecin W Prediction— Poland - Ekstraliga Women

Regular Season - 21 ·Saturday, May 23, 2026, 14:00

Gornik Leczna W

PPG 2.20 · HOME

0 – 3

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

P. Szczecin W

PPG 2.20 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.20), Away EXCELLENT (2.20)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.3%0-17.9%0-25.9%0-33.0%0-4+1.5%1 1-07.6%1-111.4%1-28.6%1-34.3%1-4+2.2%2 2-05.5%2-18.2%2-26.2%2-33.1%2-4+1.6%3 3-02.6%3-14.0%3-23.0%3-31.5%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-12.0%4+-21.5%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.7% — — —

Draw 26.1% — — —

Away win 37.2% — — —

Over 2.5 59.1% — — —

Over 3.5 33.9% — — —

BTTS 59.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%

O2.5 87%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 39%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 43%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-3

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob59.7%

A 37% / xG 1.4-1.5 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.4%

#2 1–2 8.6%

#3 2–1 8.2%

#4 0–0 5.3%

#5 0–1 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gornik Leczna W1.4

P. Szczecin W1.5

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.1% · O3.5 PROB 33.9%

Form & verdict PPG

GORNIK LECZNA W · PPG 2.20

P. SZCZECIN W · PPG 2.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.20), Away EXCELLENT (2.20)

Win probability 1X2

Gornik Leczna W (H) 36.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

P. Szczecin W (A) 37.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Gornik Leczna W face P. Szczecin W in Poland - Ekstraliga Women on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gornik Leczna W a 37% chance, the draw 26% and P. Szczecin W 37%, so P. Szczecin W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Gornik Leczna W and 1.5 for P. Szczecin W (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gornik Leczna W are averaging 2.20 points per game versus 2.20 for P. Szczecin W. This match finished 0-3.

Gornik Leczna W vs P. Szczecin W Prediction— Poland - Ekstraliga Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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