Today / Poland - Ekstraliga Women / UJ Krakow W vs Stomilanki O. W

UJ Krakow W vs Stomilanki O. W Prediction— Poland - Ekstraliga Women

Regular Season - 22 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 09:30

UJ Krakow W

PPG 1.00 · HOME

4 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Stomilanki O. W

PPG 0.70 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.00) > Away POOR (0.70)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.6%0-13.5%0-22.3%0-31.0%0-4+0.5%1 1-06.0%1-18.0%1-25.3%1-32.4%1-4+1.0%2 2-07.0%2-19.3%2-26.2%2-32.7%2-4+1.2%3 3-05.4%3-17.2%3-24.8%3-32.1%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-05.4%4+-17.2%4+-24.8%4+-32.1%4+-4+0.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 56.8% — — —

Draw 21.5% — — —

Away win 21.7% — — —

Over 2.5 65.3% — — —

Over 3.5 43.1% — — —

BTTS 61.0% — — —

Home O1.5 67.4% — — —

Away O1.5 38.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%

O2.5 87%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 39%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 62%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-0

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob61.0%

H 57% / xG 2.3-1.3 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.3%

#2 1–1 8.0%

#3 3–1 7.2%

#4 2–0 7.0%

#5 2–2 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

UJ Krakow W2.3

Stomilanki O. W1.3

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.3% · O3.5 PROB 43.1%

Form & verdict PPG

UJ KRAKOW W · PPG 1.00

STOMILANKI O. W · PPG 0.70

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.00) > Away POOR (0.70)

Win probability 1X2

UJ Krakow W (H) 56.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Stomilanki O. W (A) 21.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

UJ Krakow W face Stomilanki O. W in Poland - Ekstraliga Women on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives UJ Krakow W a 57% chance, the draw 22% and Stomilanki O. W 22%, so UJ Krakow W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for UJ Krakow W and 1.3 for Stomilanki O. W (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, UJ Krakow W are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.70 for Stomilanki O. W. This match finished 4-0.

UJ Krakow W vs Stomilanki O. W Prediction— Poland - Ekstraliga Women

Match Preview & Prediction

More Poland - Ekstraliga Women Predictions