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Rekord B. W vs UJ Krakow W Prediction— Poland - Ekstraliga Women

Regular Season - 21 ·Friday, May 22, 2026, 15:00

Rekord B. W

PPG 1.10 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

UJ Krakow W

PPG 0.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.10) > Away POOR (0.80)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.2%0-16.7%0-23.6%0-31.3%0-4+0.4%1 1-010.5%1-111.4%1-26.2%1-32.2%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.9%2-19.7%2-25.2%2-31.9%2-4+0.6%3 3-05.0%3-15.5%3-23.0%3-31.1%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-03.1%4+-13.4%4+-21.8%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.9% — — —

Draw 25.1% — — —

Away win 24.0% — — —

Over 2.5 52.6% — — —

Over 3.5 30.3% — — —

BTTS 54.1% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%

O2.5 87%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 39%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 36%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob54.1%

H 51% / xG 1.7-1.1 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.4%

#2 2–1 9.7%

#3 2–0 8.9%

#4 1–0 10.5%

#5 0–0 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rekord B. W1.7

UJ Krakow W1.1

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.6% · O3.5 PROB 30.3%

Form & verdict PPG

REKORD B. W · PPG 1.10

UJ KRAKOW W · PPG 0.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.10) > Away POOR (0.80)

Win probability 1X2

Rekord B. W (H) 50.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

UJ Krakow W (A) 24.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Rekord B. W face UJ Krakow W in Poland - Ekstraliga Women on Friday, May 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rekord B. W a 51% chance, the draw 25% and UJ Krakow W 24%, so Rekord B. W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Rekord B. W and 1.1 for UJ Krakow W (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rekord B. W are averaging 1.10 points per game versus 0.80 for UJ Krakow W. This match finished 0-1.

Rekord B. W vs UJ Krakow W Prediction— Poland - Ekstraliga Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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