Today / Santa Fe vs La Equidad
Santa Fe vs La Equidad Prediction
Sunday, May 3, 2026
// Model verdict
BTTS
Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.50) > Away AVERAGE (1.11)
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
H 44% / xG 1.5-1.1 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 55%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.0% · O3.5 PROB 28.0%
Form & verdict
SANTA FE · PPG 1.50
LA EQUIDAD · PPG 1.11
Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.50) > Away AVERAGE (1.11)
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Santa Fe face La Equidad on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Santa Fe a 45% chance, the draw 29% and La Equidad 27%, so Santa Fe are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Santa Fe and 1.1 for La Equidad (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Santa Fe are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.11 for La Equidad. This match finished 3-1.