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I. Medelin vs R. Aguilas Prediction

Unknown League Sunday, May 3, 2026
I. Medelin PPG 1.56
0-2 MISS
R. Aguilas PPG 1.13
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

I. Medelin face R. Aguilas on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives I. Medelin a 46% chance, the draw 30% and R. Aguilas 24%, so I. Medelin are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for I. Medelin and 1.0 for R. Aguilas (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, I. Medelin are averaging 1.56 points per game versus 1.13 for R. Aguilas. This match finished 0-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 45.8%
Odds: — EV: —
Draw 30.2%
Odds: — EV: —
Away 24.0%
Odds: — EV: —
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 44.4% Odds: —
Over 3.5 23.2% Odds: —
BTTS 50.2% Odds: —
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-0
3rd 0-0
4th 2-0
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

I. Medelin
1.45
R. Aguilas
1.00

Model Suggestion

BTTS MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.56) > Away AVERAGE (1.13)

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