Today / Union Touarga vs FUS Rabat

Union Touarga vs FUS Rabat Prediction

Sunday, May 3, 2026

Union Touarga

PPG 0.67 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

FUS Rabat

PPG 0.78 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.67), Away POOR (0.78)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.6%0-19.6%0-26.1%0-32.6%0-4+1.1%1 1-09.9%1-112.6%1-28.0%1-33.4%1-4+1.4%2 2-06.5%2-18.3%2-25.2%2-32.2%2-4+0.9%3 3-02.9%3-13.6%3-22.3%3-31.0%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.6%4+-21.0%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.9% — — —

Draw 30.3% — — —

Away win 33.8% — — —

Over 2.5 47.7% — — —

Over 3.5 26.0% — — —

BTTS 54.4% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 32%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob54.4%

D 30% / xG 1.3-1.3 / O2.5 48% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.6%

#2 0–0 7.6%

#3 2–1 8.3%

#4 1–0 9.9%

#5 1–2 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Union Touarga1.3

FUS Rabat1.3

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.7% · O3.5 PROB 26.0%

Form & verdict PPG

UNION TOUARGA · PPG 0.67

FUS RABAT · PPG 0.78

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.67), Away POOR (0.78)

Win probability 1X2

Union Touarga (H) 35.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 30.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

FUS Rabat (A) 33.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Union Touarga face FUS Rabat on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Union Touarga a 36% chance, the draw 30% and FUS Rabat 34%, so Union Touarga are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Union Touarga and 1.3 for FUS Rabat (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Union Touarga are averaging 0.67 points per game versus 0.78 for FUS Rabat. This match finished 0-2.

Union Touarga vs FUS Rabat Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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