Today / Honved W vs Pecsi MFC W

Honved W vs Pecsi MFC W Prediction

Sunday, May 3, 2026

Honved W
PPG 1.22 · HOME
3 – 2
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS
Pecsi MFC W
PPG 1.11 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.22), Away AVERAGE (1.11)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.4%0-15.4%0-23.3%0-31.3%0-4+0.5%1 1-08.4%1-110.2%1-26.2%1-32.5%1-4+1.0%2 2-08.0%2-19.7%2-25.9%2-32.4%2-4+0.9%3 3-05.1%3-16.2%3-23.7%3-31.5%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-03.7%4+-14.5%4+-22.7%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.4%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 52.0%
Draw 25.4%
Away win 22.6%
Over 2.5 60.2%
Over 3.5 37.8%
BTTS 61.3%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 55%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 3-2
xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob61.3%

H 52% / xG 1.9-1.2 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.2%
#2 2–1 9.7%
#3 2–0 8.0%
#4 1–0 8.4%
#5 1–2 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Honved W1.9
Pecsi MFC W1.2

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.2% · O3.5 PROB 37.8%

Form & verdict PPG

HONVED W · PPG 1.22

PECSI MFC W · PPG 1.11

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.22), Away AVERAGE (1.11)

Win probability 1X2

Honved W (H) 52.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 25.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Pecsi MFC W (A) 22.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Honved W face Pecsi MFC W on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Honved W a 52% chance, the draw 25% and Pecsi MFC W 23%, so Honved W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Honved W and 1.2 for Pecsi MFC W (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Honved W are averaging 1.22 points per game versus 1.11 for Pecsi MFC W. This match finished 3-2.

PredictVantage

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