Today / B68 Toftir vs Streymur

B68 Toftir vs Streymur Prediction

Sunday, May 3, 2026

B68 Toftir
PPG 2.00 · HOME
1 – 1
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS
Streymur
PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=42.6%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.3%0-17.0%0-24.6%0-32.1%0-4+0.9%1 1-08.5%1-111.3%1-27.5%1-33.3%1-4+1.5%2 2-06.9%2-19.1%2-26.1%2-32.7%2-4+1.2%3 3-03.7%3-14.9%3-23.3%3-31.4%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-12.9%4+-21.9%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.4%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 42.6%
Draw 27.7%
Away win 29.8%
Over 2.5 56.5%
Over 3.5 34.1%
BTTS 60.6%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 43%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-1
xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob60.6%

H 43% / xG 1.6-1.3 / O2.5 56% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.3%
#2 2–1 9.1%
#3 1–2 7.5%
#4 0–0 5.3%
#5 2–0 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

B68 Toftir1.6
Streymur1.3

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 56.5% · O3.5 PROB 34.1%

Form & verdict PPG

B68 TOFTIR · PPG 2.00

STREYMUR · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=42.6%

Win probability 1X2

B68 Toftir (H) 42.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 27.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Streymur (A) 29.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

B68 Toftir face Streymur on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives B68 Toftir a 43% chance, the draw 28% and Streymur 30%, so B68 Toftir are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for B68 Toftir and 1.3 for Streymur (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, B68 Toftir are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.00 for Streymur. This match finished 1-1.

PredictVantage

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