Strasbourg vs Toulouse Prediction & Tips

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France - Ligue 1 Regular Season - 32 Stade de la Meinau· Strasbourg Sunday, May 3, 2026 15:15

Strasbourg PPG 1.80

1-2 MISS

Toulouse PPG 1.13

Home· +24.2% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 46.0%

Odds: 2.70 EV: +24.2%

Draw 27.9%

Odds: 3.45 EV: -3.7%

Away 26.1%

Odds: 2.44 EV: -36.3%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 53.8% Odds: 1.83 -1.6%

Over 3.5 31.5% Odds: 3.10 -2.4%

BTTS 57.8% Odds: 1.65 -4.6%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 0-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Strasbourg

1.64

Toulouse

1.19

Model SuggestionBTTS -4.6% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-4.6%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.80) > Away AVERAGE (1.13)