Today / Paris FC vs Brest
Paris FC vs Brest Prediction
Sunday, May 3, 2026
// Model verdict
BTTS
Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.27) > Away POOR (0.87)
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
H 41% / xG 1.6-1.3 / O2.5 56% / BTTS 60%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 56.1% · O3.5 PROB 33.7%
Form & verdict
PARIS FC · PPG 1.27
BREST · PPG 0.87
Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.27) > Away POOR (0.87)
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Paris FC face Brest on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Paris FC a 41% chance, the draw 28% and Brest 31%, so Paris FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Paris FC and 1.3 for Brest (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Paris FC are averaging 1.27 points per game versus 0.87 for Brest. This match finished 4-0.