Today / Szeged vs Honved

Szeged vs Honved Prediction

Sunday, May 3, 2026

Szeged

PPG 1.38 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Honved

PPG 1.92 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.3%0-114.0%0-29.5%0-34.3%0-4+2.0%1 1-09.4%1-112.8%1-28.7%1-34.0%1-4+1.8%2 2-04.3%2-15.8%2-24.0%2-31.8%2-4+0.8%3 3-01.3%3-11.8%3-21.2%3-30.5%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.5%4+-20.3%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 23.2% — — —

Draw 31.5% — — —

Away win 45.3% — — —

Over 2.5 39.7% — — —

Over 3.5 19.6% — — —

BTTS 46.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 36%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob46.5%

A 45% / xG 0.9-1.4 / U2.5 40% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.8%

#2 0–0✓ 10.3%

#3 0–1 14.0%

#4 0–2 9.5%

#5 1–2 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Szeged0.9

Honved1.4

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 39.7% · O3.5 PROB 19.6%

Form & verdict PPG

SZEGED · PPG 1.38

HONVED · PPG 1.92

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.92) vs Home AVERAGE (1.38)

Win probability 1X2

Szeged (H) 23.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 31.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Honved (A) 45.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Szeged face Honved on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Szeged a 23% chance, the draw 32% and Honved 45%, so Honved are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Szeged and 1.4 for Honved (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Szeged are averaging 1.38 points per game versus 1.92 for Honved. This match finished 0-0.

Szeged vs Honved Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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