Mezokovesd vs Csakvari Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Hungary - NB II Regular Season - 28 Városi Stadion· Mezőkövesd Sunday, May 3, 2026 15:00

Mezokovesd PPG 1.62

1-0 HIT CS3

Csakvari PPG 1.38

Away· +3.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Mezokovesd face Csakvari in Hungary - NB II on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Mezokovesd a 37% chance, the draw 31% and Csakvari 32%, so Mezokovesd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Mezokovesd and 1.2 for Csakvari (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Mezokovesd are averaging 1.62 points per game versus 1.38 for Csakvari. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +3.0%. This match finished 1-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 37.3%

Odds: 2.05 EV: -23.5%

Draw 30.9%

Odds: 3.00 EV: -7.3%

Away 31.7%

Odds: 3.25 EV: +3.0%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 45.2% Odds: 1.80 -18.6%

Over 3.5 23.9% Odds: 3.14 -24.9%

BTTS 52.4% Odds: 1.73 -9.3%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✔

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 0-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Mezokovesd

1.30

Csakvari

1.18

Model SuggestionBTTS -9.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -9.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+3.0%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 31 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5/Under 68%

BTTS/No 45%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -21.0%

Bet Hit 40% (5 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.62), Away AVERAGE (1.38)