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Mezokovesd vs Csakvari Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Regular Season - 28 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 15:00

Mezokovesd

PPG 1.62 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Csakvari

PPG 1.38 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.4% vs bookmaker-implied 57.8%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.4%0-19.9%0-25.8%0-32.3%0-4+0.9%1 1-010.9%1-112.8%1-27.6%1-33.0%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.1%2-18.3%2-24.9%2-31.9%2-4+0.7%3 3-03.1%3-13.6%3-22.1%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-11.6%4+-20.9%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.3% 48.8% 2.05 -23.5%

Draw 30.9% 33.3% 3.00 -7.3%

Away win 31.7% 30.8% 3.25 +3.0%

Over 2.5 45.2% 55.6% 1.80 -18.6%

Over 3.5 23.9% 31.8% 3.14 -24.9%

BTTS 52.4% 57.8% 1.73 -9.3%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 31 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -29.1%

Bet Hit 44%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 30%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob52.4%

D 31% / xG 1.3-1.2 / O2.5 45% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.8%

#2 0–0 8.4%

#3 1–0✓ 10.9%

#4 2–1 8.3%

#5 0–1 9.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Mezokovesd1.3

Csakvari1.2

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.2% · O3.5 PROB 23.9%

Form & verdict PPG

MEZOKOVESD · PPG 1.62

CSAKVARI · PPG 1.38

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.62), Away AVERAGE (1.38)

Win probability 1X2

Mezokovesd (H) 37.3%

ODDS 2.05 · IMPLIED 48.8% EV -23.5%

Draw 30.9%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -7.3%

Csakvari (A) 31.7%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV +3.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Mezokovesd face Csakvari in Hungary - NB II on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Mezokovesd a 37% chance, the draw 31% and Csakvari 32%, so Mezokovesd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Mezokovesd and 1.2 for Csakvari (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Mezokovesd are averaging 1.62 points per game versus 1.38 for Csakvari. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +3.0%. This match finished 1-0.

Mezokovesd vs Csakvari Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Match Preview & Prediction

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