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Kozarmisleny vs Kecskemeti TE Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Regular Season - 28 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 15:00

Kozarmisleny

PPG 1.54 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Kecskemeti TE

PPG 1.31 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 57.0% vs bookmaker-implied 58.8%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.6%0-19.1%0-26.3%0-32.9%0-4+1.4%1 1-08.8%1-112.2%1-28.4%1-33.9%1-4+1.8%2 2-05.9%2-18.1%2-25.6%2-32.6%2-4+1.2%3 3-02.6%3-13.6%3-22.5%3-31.2%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.6%4+-21.1%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.2% 26.7% 3.75 +28.2%

Draw 29.4% 30.3% 3.30 -3.0%

Away win 36.5% 55.6% 1.80 -34.3%

Over 2.5 51.1% 55.6% 1.80 -8.0%

Over 3.5 29.0% 34.2% 2.92 -15.3%

BTTS 57.0% 58.8% 1.70 -3.1%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 31 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -29.1%

Bet Hit 44%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 37%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob57.0%

D 29% / xG 1.3-1.4 / O2.5 51% / BTTS 57%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.2%

#2 1–2 8.4%

#3 0–0 6.6%

#4 2–1✓ 8.1%

#5 0–1 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kozarmisleny1.3

Kecskemeti TE1.4

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 51.1% · O3.5 PROB 29.0%

Form & verdict PPG

KOZARMISLENY · PPG 1.54

KECSKEMETI TE · PPG 1.31

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.54), Away AVERAGE (1.31)

Win probability 1X2

Kozarmisleny (H) 34.2%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV +28.2%

Draw 29.4%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -3.0%

Kecskemeti TE (A) 36.5%

ODDS 1.80 · IMPLIED 55.6% EV -34.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kozarmisleny face Kecskemeti TE in Hungary - NB II on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kozarmisleny a 34% chance, the draw 29% and Kecskemeti TE 37%, so Kecskemeti TE are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Kozarmisleny and 1.4 for Kecskemeti TE (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kozarmisleny are averaging 1.54 points per game versus 1.31 for Kecskemeti TE. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +28.2%. This match finished 2-1.

Kozarmisleny vs Kecskemeti TE Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Match Preview & Prediction

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