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Hungary - NB II Sunday, May 3, 2026 15:00 
Karcag SE PPG 1.69 
Szentlorinc PPG 0.62
Hungary - NB II Sunday, May 3, 2026 15:00 Karcag SE PPG 1.690-1 MISS
Szentlorinc PPG 0.62Home· +6.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 44.0% Odds: 2.00 -12.0%
Over 3.5 22.9% Odds: 3.58 -18.0%
BTTS 51.0% Odds: 1.75 -10.8%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 0-0 ✘
3rd 1-0 ✘
4th 2-1 ✘
5th 2-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Karcag SE 1.35
Szentlorinc 1.09
Model Suggestion
BTTS -10.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -10.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+6.9%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Home (+6.9%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 66%
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.69) vs P(Home)=40.8%