Today / BVSC vs Videoton FC

BVSC vs Videoton FC Prediction

Sunday, May 3, 2026

BVSC

PPG 1.23 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

Videoton FC

PPG 1.23 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.7%0-111.8%0-26.5%0-32.4%0-4+0.8%1 1-012.2%1-113.4%1-27.3%1-32.7%1-4+0.9%2 2-06.9%2-17.6%2-24.2%2-31.5%2-4+0.5%3 3-02.6%3-12.9%3-21.6%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.0%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.4% — — —

Draw 32.9% — — —

Away win 32.7% — — —

Over 2.5 38.6% — — —

Over 3.5 18.7% — — —

BTTS 47.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 48%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob47.2%

D 33% / xG 1.1-1.1 / U2.5 39% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.4%

#2 0–0 10.7%

#3 1–0✓ 12.2%

#4 0–1 11.8%

#5 2–1 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

BVSC1.1

Videoton FC1.1

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 38.6% · O3.5 PROB 18.7%

Form & verdict PPG

BVSC · PPG 1.23

VIDEOTON FC · PPG 1.23

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.23), Away AVERAGE (1.23)

Win probability 1X2

BVSC (H) 34.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 32.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Videoton FC (A) 32.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

BVSC face Videoton FC on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives BVSC a 34% chance, the draw 33% and Videoton FC 33%, so BVSC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for BVSC and 1.1 for Videoton FC (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, BVSC are averaging 1.23 points per game versus 1.23 for Videoton FC. This match finished 1-0.

BVSC vs Videoton FC Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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