Today / TOSK Tesanj vs R. Hadzici

TOSK Tesanj vs R. Hadzici Prediction

Sunday, May 3, 2026

TOSK Tesanj

PPG 2.10 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

R. Hadzici

PPG 1.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.10) > Away AVERAGE (1.40)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.7%0-17.1%0-23.8%0-31.3%0-4+0.4%1 1-010.9%1-111.7%1-26.2%1-32.2%1-4+0.7%2 2-09.0%2-19.6%2-25.1%2-31.8%2-4+0.6%3 3-04.9%3-15.3%3-22.8%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-02.9%4+-13.1%4+-21.7%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.2% — — —

Draw 28.0% — — —

Away win 22.8% — — —

Over 2.5 50.9% — — —

Over 3.5 28.8% — — —

BTTS 54.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 32%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob54.6%

H 49% / xG 1.6-1.1 / O2.5 51% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.7%

#2 2–1 9.6%

#3 1–0 10.9%

#4 2–0 9.0%

#5 0–0✓ 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

TOSK Tesanj1.6

R. Hadzici1.1

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.9% · O3.5 PROB 28.8%

Form & verdict PPG

TOSK TESANJ · PPG 2.10

R. HADZICI · PPG 1.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.10) > Away AVERAGE (1.40)

Win probability 1X2

TOSK Tesanj (H) 49.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

R. Hadzici (A) 22.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

TOSK Tesanj face R. Hadzici on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives TOSK Tesanj a 49% chance, the draw 28% and R. Hadzici 23%, so TOSK Tesanj are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for TOSK Tesanj and 1.1 for R. Hadzici (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, TOSK Tesanj are averaging 2.10 points per game versus 1.40 for R. Hadzici. This match finished 0-0.

TOSK Tesanj vs R. Hadzici Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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