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HERA vs PSV Eindhoven W Prediction— Netherlands - Eredivisie Women

Regular Season - 20 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 14:45

HERA

PPG 0.75 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

PSV Eindhoven W

PPG 2.44 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.44) vs Home POOR (0.75)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.7%0-18.9%0-210.9%0-38.8%0-4+9.5%1 1-03.2%1-17.8%1-29.5%1-37.7%1-4+8.3%2 2-01.4%2-13.4%2-24.1%2-33.3%2-4+3.6%3 3-00.4%3-11.0%3-21.2%3-31.0%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.3%4+-20.3%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 10.4% — — —

Draw 19.1% — — —

Away win 70.6% — — —

Over 2.5 64.1% — — —

Over 3.5 42.0% — — —

BTTS 54.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 76%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 59%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)2.4 BTTS prob54.2%

A 71% / xG 0.9-2.4 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 10.9%

#2 1–2✓ 9.5%

#3 1–1 7.8%

#4 0–3 8.8%

#5 0–1 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

HERA0.9

PSV Eindhoven W2.4

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.1% · O3.5 PROB 42.0%

Form & verdict PPG

HERA · PPG 0.75

PSV EINDHOVEN W · PPG 2.44

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.44) vs Home POOR (0.75)

Win probability 1X2

HERA (H) 10.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 19.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

PSV Eindhoven W (A) 70.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

HERA face PSV Eindhoven W in Netherlands - Eredivisie Women on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives HERA a 10% chance, the draw 19% and PSV Eindhoven W 71%, so PSV Eindhoven W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for HERA and 2.4 for PSV Eindhoven W (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, HERA are averaging 0.75 points per game versus 2.44 for PSV Eindhoven W. This match finished 1-2.

HERA vs PSV Eindhoven W Prediction— Netherlands - Eredivisie Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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