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Feyenoord W vs Utrecht W Prediction— Netherlands - Eredivisie Women

Regular Season - 20 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 14:45

Feyenoord W

PPG 2.22 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Utrecht W

PPG 1.89 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.6%0-14.4%0-22.7%0-31.1%0-4+0.4%1 1-07.6%1-19.2%1-25.7%1-32.3%1-4+0.9%2 2-07.9%2-19.7%2-26.0%2-32.4%2-4+1.0%3 3-05.6%3-16.8%3-24.2%3-31.7%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-04.7%4+-15.8%4+-23.6%4+-31.5%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 56.1% — — —

Draw 23.6% — — —

Away win 20.3% — — —

Over 2.5 64.6% — — —

Over 3.5 42.5% — — —

BTTS 63.4% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 76%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 58%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob63.4%

H 56% / xG 2.1-1.2 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.2%

#2 2–1 9.7%

#3 2–0 7.9%

#4 3–1 6.8%

#5 1–0 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Feyenoord W2.1

Utrecht W1.2

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.6% · O3.5 PROB 42.5%

Form & verdict PPG

FEYENOORD W · PPG 2.22

UTRECHT W · PPG 1.89

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.22) > Away GOOD (1.89)

Win probability 1X2

Feyenoord W (H) 56.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Utrecht W (A) 20.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Feyenoord W face Utrecht W in Netherlands - Eredivisie Women on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Feyenoord W a 56% chance, the draw 24% and Utrecht W 20%, so Feyenoord W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Feyenoord W and 1.2 for Utrecht W (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Feyenoord W are averaging 2.22 points per game versus 1.89 for Utrecht W. This match finished 3-0.

Feyenoord W vs Utrecht W Prediction— Netherlands - Eredivisie Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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