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FC Twente W vs PEC Zwolle W Prediction— Netherlands - Eredivisie Women

Regular Season - 20 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 14:45

FC Twente W

PPG 2.22 · HOME

3 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

PEC Zwolle W

PPG 1.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.22) > Away GOOD (1.67)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.6%0-14.5%0-22.3%0-30.7%0-4+0.2%1 1-09.6%1-19.5%1-24.7%1-31.6%1-4+0.5%2 2-010.0%2-19.9%2-24.9%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-07.0%3-16.9%3-23.4%3-31.1%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-05.9%4+-15.9%4+-22.9%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 61.2% — — —

Draw 23.2% — — —

Away win 15.6% — — —

Over 2.5 59.6% — — —

Over 3.5 37.2% — — —

BTTS 56.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 76%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 57%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-2

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob56.7%

H 61% / xG 2.1-1.0 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 57%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.5%

#2 2–0 10.0%

#3 2–1 9.9%

#4 1–0 9.6%

#5 3–0 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

FC Twente W2.1

PEC Zwolle W1.0

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.6% · O3.5 PROB 37.2%

Form & verdict PPG

FC TWENTE W · PPG 2.22

PEC ZWOLLE W · PPG 1.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.22) > Away GOOD (1.67)

Win probability 1X2

FC Twente W (H) 61.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

PEC Zwolle W (A) 15.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

FC Twente W face PEC Zwolle W in Netherlands - Eredivisie Women on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives FC Twente W a 61% chance, the draw 23% and PEC Zwolle W 16%, so FC Twente W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for FC Twente W and 1.0 for PEC Zwolle W (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, FC Twente W are averaging 2.22 points per game versus 1.67 for PEC Zwolle W. This match finished 3-2.

FC Twente W vs PEC Zwolle W Prediction— Netherlands - Eredivisie Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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