Excelsior W vs Ajax W Prediction— Netherlands - Eredivisie Women

Netherlands - Eredivisie Women Regular Season - 20 Stadion Woudestein· Rotterdam Sunday, May 3, 2026 14:45

Excelsior W PPG 0.44

0-2 HIT MostLikelyScore

Ajax W PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Excelsior W face Ajax W in Netherlands - Eredivisie Women on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Excelsior W a 10% chance, the draw 17% and Ajax W 72%, so Ajax W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Excelsior W and 2.7 for Ajax W (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 71% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Excelsior W are averaging 0.44 points per game versus 2.00 for Ajax W. This match finished 0-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 10.3%

Odds: — EV: —

Draw 17.4%

Odds: — EV: —

Away 72.3%

Odds: — EV: —

Model lean: Away Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 70.6% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 49.6% Odds: — —

BTTS 59.1% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-2 ✔

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 0-3 ✘

4th 1-3 ✘

5th 1-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Excelsior W

0.98

Ajax W

2.67

Model SuggestionAway  MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 76%

O2.5/Under 68%

BTTS/No 56%

Score Hit 56%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs Home POOR (0.44)