Wehen Wiesbaden vs Osnabruck Prediction— Germany - 3. Liga

Germany - 3. Liga Regular Season - 36 BRITA-Arena· Wiesbaden Sunday, May 3, 2026 14:30

Wehen Wiesbaden PPG 1.88

2-3 MISS

Osnabruck PPG 2.12

Home· +3.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Wehen Wiesbaden face Osnabruck in Germany - 3. Liga on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wehen Wiesbaden a 30% chance, the draw 29% and Osnabruck 41%, so Osnabruck are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Wehen Wiesbaden and 1.5 for Osnabruck (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wehen Wiesbaden are averaging 1.88 points per game versus 2.12 for Osnabruck. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +3.5%. This match finished 2-3.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 30.0%

Odds: 3.45 EV: +3.5%

Draw 29.3%

Odds: 3.50 EV: +2.5%

Away 40.7%

Odds: 2.00 EV: -18.6%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 50.3% Odds: 1.75 -12.0%

Over 3.5 28.3% Odds: 2.80 -20.8%

BTTS 56.1% Odds: 1.57 -11.9%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 0-0 ✘

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Wehen Wiesbaden

1.23

Osnabruck

1.46

Model SuggestionBTTS -11.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -11.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+3.5%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5/Under 70%

BTTS/No 65%

Score Hit 30%

ROI 12.3%

Bet Hit 67% (12 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.88), Away EXCELLENT (2.12)