Manchester Utd vs Liverpool Prediction & Tips

England - Premier League Regular Season - 35 Old Trafford· Manchester Sunday, May 3, 2026 14:30

Manchester Utd PPG 2.12

3-2 MISS

Liverpool PPG 1.41

Draw· -0.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Home 43.7%

Odds: 2.22 EV: -3.0%

Draw 26.8%

Odds: 3.70 EV: -0.8%

Away 29.5%

Odds: 2.84 EV: -16.2%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Over 2.5 59.7% Odds: 1.48 -11.6%

Over 3.5 37.3% Odds: 2.20 -17.9%

BTTS 62.9% Odds: 1.42 -10.7%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-2 ✘

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 2-2 ✘

Manchester Utd

1.71

Liverpool

1.38

Model SuggestionBTTS -10.7% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -10.7% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.12) > Away AVERAGE (1.41)