Today / Struga vs Brera Strumica

Struga vs Brera Strumica Prediction

Sunday, May 3, 2026

Struga

PPG 1.93 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Brera Strumica

PPG 1.27 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.93) > Away AVERAGE (1.27)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.5%0-13.3%0-21.5%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-08.5%1-17.9%1-23.7%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-010.3%2-19.6%2-24.5%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-08.2%3-17.7%3-23.6%3-31.1%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-08.8%4+-18.2%4+-23.8%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 68.8% — — —

Draw 19.6% — — —

Away win 11.6% — — —

Over 2.5 64.9% — — —

Over 3.5 42.9% — — —

BTTS 56.4% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 61%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob56.4%

H 69% / xG 2.4-0.9 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 10.3%

#2 2–1 9.6%

#3 1–1 7.9%

#4 3–0 8.2%

#5 3–1 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Struga2.4

Brera Strumica0.9

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.9% · O3.5 PROB 42.9%

Form & verdict PPG

STRUGA · PPG 1.93

BRERA STRUMICA · PPG 1.27

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.93) > Away AVERAGE (1.27)

Win probability 1X2

Struga (H) 68.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 19.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Brera Strumica (A) 11.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Struga face Brera Strumica on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Struga a 69% chance, the draw 20% and Brera Strumica 12%, so Struga are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Struga and 0.9 for Brera Strumica (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Struga are averaging 1.93 points per game versus 1.27 for Brera Strumica. This match finished 0-1.

Struga vs Brera Strumica Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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