Today / HB Torshavn vs AB Argir

HB Torshavn vs AB Argir Prediction

Sunday, May 3, 2026

HB Torshavn

PPG 1.33 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

AB Argir

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.33) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.8%0-16.6%0-24.6%0-32.1%0-4+1.0%1 1-07.9%1-111.0%1-27.6%1-33.5%1-4+1.6%2 2-06.6%2-19.1%2-26.3%2-32.9%2-4+1.4%3 3-03.6%3-15.0%3-23.5%3-31.6%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-13.0%4+-22.1%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.4% — — —

Draw 27.1% — — —

Away win 30.5% — — —

Over 2.5 58.7% — — —

Over 3.5 36.3% — — —

BTTS 62.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 47%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob62.3%

H 42% / xG 1.7-1.4 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 11.0%

#2 2–1 9.1%

#3 1–2 7.6%

#4 2–0 6.6%

#5 0–0 4.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

HB Torshavn1.7

AB Argir1.4

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 58.7% · O3.5 PROB 36.3%

Form & verdict PPG

HB TORSHAVN · PPG 1.33

AB ARGIR · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.33) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

HB Torshavn (H) 42.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

AB Argir (A) 30.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

HB Torshavn face AB Argir on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives HB Torshavn a 42% chance, the draw 27% and AB Argir 31%, so HB Torshavn are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for HB Torshavn and 1.4 for AB Argir (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, HB Torshavn are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.00 for AB Argir. This match finished 1-1.

HB Torshavn vs AB Argir Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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