Today / ZED FC vs El Gouna
ZED FC vs El Gouna Prediction
Sunday, May 3, 2026
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
D 39% / xG 0.8-0.7 / U2.5 21% / NoBTTS 32%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 1.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 21.2% · O3.5 PROB 7.6%
Form & verdict
ZED FC · PPG 1.69
EL GOUNA · PPG 1.64
Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.69), Away GOOD (1.64)
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
ZED FC face El Gouna on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives ZED FC a 34% chance, the draw 39% and El Gouna 27%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.8 for ZED FC and 0.7 for El Gouna (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 21% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 32% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, ZED FC are averaging 1.69 points per game versus 1.64 for El Gouna. This match finished 2-2.