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Bornheim vs E. Hohkeppel Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein

Mittelrhein - 25 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 13:30

Bornheim

PPG 1.42 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

E. Hohkeppel

PPG 1.55 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.1 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.6%0-13.9%0-24.6%0-33.7%0-4+3.9%1 1-02.8%1-16.7%1-28.0%1-36.4%1-4+6.7%2 2-02.4%2-15.8%2-26.9%2-35.5%2-4+5.8%3 3-01.4%3-13.3%3-24.0%3-33.2%3-4+3.4%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-12.1%4+-22.6%4+-32.0%4+-4+2.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 26.8% — — —

Draw 21.5% — — —

Away win 51.7% — — —

Over 2.5 77.9% — — —

Over 3.5 59.0% — — —

BTTS 75.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 76%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 20%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 57%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)2.4 BTTS prob75.8%

A 52% / xG 1.7-2.4 / O2.5 78% / BTTS 76%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 8.0%

#2 1–1 6.7%

#3 2–2 6.9%

#4 1–3 6.4%

#5 2–1 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bornheim1.7

E. Hohkeppel2.4

COMBINED 4.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 77.9% · O3.5 PROB 59.0%

Form & verdict PPG

BORNHEIM · PPG 1.42

E. HOHKEPPEL · PPG 1.55

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.42), Away GOOD (1.55)

Win probability 1X2

Bornheim (H) 26.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

E. Hohkeppel (A) 51.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Bornheim face E. Hohkeppel in Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bornheim a 27% chance, the draw 22% and E. Hohkeppel 52%, so E. Hohkeppel are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Bornheim and 2.4 for E. Hohkeppel (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 78% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 76% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bornheim are averaging 1.42 points per game versus 1.55 for E. Hohkeppel. This match finished 3-1.

Bornheim vs E. Hohkeppel Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein

Match Preview & Prediction

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