Today / Malaysia - Super League / Imigresen vs DPMM FC

Imigresen vs DPMM FC Prediction— Malaysia - Super League

Regular Season - 24 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 13:00

Imigresen

PPG 0.90 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

DPMM FC

PPG 1.10 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 69.9% vs bookmaker-implied 68.5% — a real, if thin, edge.

+2.1% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.7%0-14.0%0-23.0%0-31.5%0-4+0.8%1 1-05.8%1-18.5%1-26.3%1-33.1%1-4+1.6%2 2-06.1%2-19.1%2-26.7%2-33.3%2-4+1.7%3 3-04.3%3-16.4%3-24.8%3-32.4%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-03.8%4+-15.6%4+-24.2%4+-32.1%4+-4+1.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.1% 41.5% 2.41 +23.2%

Draw 23.4% 27.5% 3.64 -14.8%

Away win 25.4% 42.0% 2.38 -39.6%

Over 2.5 69.9% 68.5% 1.46 +2.1%

Over 3.5 48.7% 44.4% 2.25 +9.6%

BTTS 69.4% 70.4% 1.42 -1.5%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 38%

ROI -1.2%

Bet Hit 70%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 61%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob69.4%

H 51% / xG 2.1-1.5 / O2.5 70% / BTTS 69%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.5%

#2 2–1 9.1%

#3 2–2 6.7%

#4 3–1✓ 6.4%

#5 1–2 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Imigresen2.1

DPMM FC1.5

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 69.9% · O3.5 PROB 48.7%

Form & verdict PPG

IMIGRESEN · PPG 0.90

DPMM FC · PPG 1.10

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.90), Away AVERAGE (1.10)

Win probability 1X2

Imigresen (H) 51.1%

ODDS 2.41 · IMPLIED 41.5% EV +23.2%

Draw 23.4%

ODDS 3.64 · IMPLIED 27.5% EV -14.8%

DPMM FC (A) 25.4%

ODDS 2.38 · IMPLIED 42.0% EV -39.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Imigresen face DPMM FC in Malaysia - Super League on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Imigresen a 51% chance, the draw 23% and DPMM FC 25%, so Imigresen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Imigresen and 1.5 for DPMM FC (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Imigresen are averaging 0.90 points per game versus 1.10 for DPMM FC. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +23.2%. This match finished 3-1.

Imigresen vs DPMM FC Prediction— Malaysia - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Malaysia - Super League Predictions