Today / Verona W vs Bologna W

Verona W vs Bologna W Prediction

Sunday, May 3, 2026

Verona W

PPG 1.09 · HOME

5 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Bologna W

PPG 1.73 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.73) vs Home AVERAGE (1.09)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.4%0-16.9%0-27.0%0-34.7%0-4+3.8%1 1-04.6%1-19.3%1-29.5%1-36.4%1-4+5.2%2 2-03.1%2-16.3%2-26.4%2-34.3%2-4+3.5%3 3-01.4%3-12.8%3-22.9%3-31.9%3-4+1.6%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-11.3%4+-21.3%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 24.0% — — —

Draw 24.3% — — —

Away win 51.7% — — —

Over 2.5 65.6% — — —

Over 3.5 43.7% — — —

BTTS 65.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 57%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 5-1

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob65.7%

A 52% / xG 1.4-2.0 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 66%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.3%

#2 1–2 9.5%

#3 0–2 7.0%

#4 1–3 6.4%

#5 2–2 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Verona W1.4

Bologna W2.0

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.6% · O3.5 PROB 43.7%

Form & verdict PPG

VERONA W · PPG 1.09

BOLOGNA W · PPG 1.73

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.73) vs Home AVERAGE (1.09)

Win probability 1X2

Verona W (H) 24.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Bologna W (A) 51.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Verona W face Bologna W on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Verona W a 24% chance, the draw 24% and Bologna W 52%, so Bologna W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Verona W and 2.0 for Bologna W (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Verona W are averaging 1.09 points per game versus 1.73 for Bologna W. This match finished 5-1.

Verona W vs Bologna W Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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