Today / Venezia W vs Frosinone W
Venezia W vs Frosinone W Prediction
Sunday, May 3, 2026
// Model verdict
Over 2.5
Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
A 54% / xG 1.3-2.0 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 64%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.5% · O3.5 PROB 41.4%
Form & verdict
VENEZIA W · PPG 0.45
FROSINONE W · PPG 0.91
Home weakness: POOR (0.45) vs Away POOR (0.91)
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Venezia W face Frosinone W on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Venezia W a 22% chance, the draw 24% and Frosinone W 54%, so Frosinone W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Venezia W and 2.0 for Frosinone W (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Venezia W are averaging 0.45 points per game versus 0.91 for Frosinone W. This match finished 1-0.