Today / San Marino A. W vs Freedom W
San Marino A. W vs Freedom W Prediction
Sunday, May 3, 2026
// Model verdict
BTTS
Home weakness: POOR (0.82) vs Away AVERAGE (1.27)
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
A 46% / xG 1.5-1.9 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 68%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 66.8% · O3.5 PROB 45.1%
Form & verdict
SAN MARINO A. W · PPG 0.82
FREEDOM W · PPG 1.27
Home weakness: POOR (0.82) vs Away AVERAGE (1.27)
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
San Marino A. W face Freedom W on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives San Marino A. W a 29% chance, the draw 25% and Freedom W 46%, so Freedom W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for San Marino A. W and 1.9 for Freedom W (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 68% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, San Marino A. W are averaging 0.82 points per game versus 1.27 for Freedom W. This match finished 1-0.