Today / RES Roma W vs Trastevere W

RES Roma W vs Trastevere W Prediction

Sunday, May 3, 2026

RES Roma W

PPG 1.64 · HOME

0 – 4

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Trastevere W

PPG 0.64 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in GOOD form (1.64), Away POOR (0.64) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.6%0-13.6%0-21.8%0-30.6%0-4+0.2%1 1-08.4%1-18.4%1-24.2%1-31.4%1-4+0.4%2 2-09.7%2-19.7%2-24.9%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-07.5%3-17.5%3-23.8%3-31.3%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-07.5%4+-17.5%4+-23.8%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 65.5% — — —

Draw 20.9% — — —

Away win 13.6% — — —

Over 2.5 64.4% — — —

Over 3.5 42.3% — — —

BTTS 58.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 59%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-4

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob58.2%

H 66% / xG 2.3-1.0 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.7%

#2 2–0 9.7%

#3 1–1 8.4%

#4 3–1 7.5%

#5 3–0 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

RES Roma W2.3

Trastevere W1.0

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.4% · O3.5 PROB 42.3%

Form & verdict PPG

RES ROMA W · PPG 1.64

TRASTEVERE W · PPG 0.64

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.64), Away POOR (0.64) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

RES Roma W (H) 65.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Trastevere W (A) 13.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

RES Roma W face Trastevere W on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives RES Roma W a 66% chance, the draw 21% and Trastevere W 14%, so RES Roma W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for RES Roma W and 1.0 for Trastevere W (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, RES Roma W are averaging 1.64 points per game versus 0.64 for Trastevere W. This match finished 0-4.

RES Roma W vs Trastevere W Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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