Today / Como W vs Arezzo W
Como W vs Arezzo W Prediction
Sunday, May 3, 2026
// Model verdict
Home
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs P(Home)=60.1%
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
H 60% / xG 2.0-0.9 / O2.5 55% / BTTS 54%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 55.2% · O3.5 PROB 32.9%
Form & verdict
COMO W · PPG 3.00
AREZZO W · PPG 1.09
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs P(Home)=60.1%
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Como W face Arezzo W on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Como W a 60% chance, the draw 24% and Arezzo W 16%, so Como W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Como W and 0.9 for Arezzo W (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Como W are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 1.09 for Arezzo W. This match finished 0-1.