Today / Vivi Altotevere vs Camaiore Calcio

Vivi Altotevere vs Camaiore Calcio Prediction

Sunday, May 3, 2026

Vivi Altotevere
PPG 1.06 · HOME
0 – 0
FULL TIME
Camaiore Calcio
PPG 1.06 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.3%0-112.0%0-27.0%0-32.7%0-4+1.0%1 1-011.4%1-113.3%1-27.8%1-33.0%1-4+1.1%2 2-06.3%2-17.3%2-24.3%2-31.7%2-4+0.6%3 3-02.3%3-12.7%3-21.6%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-10.9%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 32.1%
Draw 32.5%
Away win 35.3%
Over 2.5 39.7%
Over 3.5 19.5%
BTTS 48.1%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 45%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-0
xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob48.1%

D 32% / xG 1.1-1.2 / U2.5 40% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.3%
#2 0–0 10.3%
#3 0–1 12.0%
#4 1–0 11.4%
#5 1–2 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vivi Altotevere1.1
Camaiore Calcio1.2

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 39.7% · O3.5 PROB 19.5%

Form & verdict PPG

VIVI ALTOTEVERE · PPG 1.06

CAMAIORE CALCIO · PPG 1.06

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.06), Away AVERAGE (1.06)

Win probability 1X2

Vivi Altotevere (H) 32.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 32.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Camaiore Calcio (A) 35.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Vivi Altotevere face Camaiore Calcio on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vivi Altotevere a 32% chance, the draw 33% and Camaiore Calcio 35%, so Camaiore Calcio are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Vivi Altotevere and 1.2 for Camaiore Calcio (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vivi Altotevere are averaging 1.06 points per game versus 1.06 for Camaiore Calcio. This match finished 0-0.

PredictVantage

Free daily football predictions across 240+ leagues. A Poisson-based model analyses team form, attack and defence strength, and live bookmaker odds to surface value bets — updated every day, graded every night.

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